Tuesday, October 24, 2006

Daily Kos: Reporting on the Polls.....

Daily Kos printed some interesting poll results today. Good reason to be optimistic; a few places for concern. I'm listening to the always harpyish Mary Matalin on MSNBC right now; she's projecting the Dems will lose seats in the Senate and the Republicans will keep the House. The most surprising thing she's said so far? Tim Russert just showed her a bumber sticker which identifies hand-picked GOP candidate Michael Steele as a "democrat." Mary Matalin says that's ok to do. Blech.

I guess they need every trick in the book: Rasmussen says: Steele (R) 43% Cardin (D) 50%.

Here are a couple of other races of note.

MONTANA (Senate)

Mason-Dixon for McClatchy/MSNBC (PDF). 10/17-19. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/26-28 results)

Burns (R) 43 (40)
Tester (D) 46 (47)

I'm sort of surprised at this one given Sen. Burns' affection for the taste of his own foot. Tester is an attractive candidate. I've met him and his wife Sharla and have spent a good deal of time talking to them. They are genuine, warm, and accessible people. Tester is an extremely bright guy and a quick study. He'll make a great senator.

OHIO (Governor, open; Senate)

Mason-Dixon for McClatchy/MSNBC (PDF). 10/18-20. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/25-27 results)


Blackwell (R) 29 (36)
Strickland (D) 48 (53)

What's not to like about this one? It's got the same sort of revenge-is-sweet cache as this Survey USA poll which has Democratic Senator Bill Nelson ahead of Republican Katherine Harris 55% to 37%.

TENNESSEE (Senate, open)

Mason-Dixon for McClatchy/MSNBC (PDF). 10/18-20. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/25-27 results)

Corker (R) 45 (42)
Ford (D) 43 (43)

Here's a race where a de-motivated base could make a big difference. I'm also interested in any poll movement due to the recent and racist RNC ad. I lived in Tennessee for several years and have faith that Tennesseans have moved beyond this kind of attack.


Mason-Dixon for McClatchy/MSNBC (PDF). 10/17-19. Likely voters. MoE 4% (9/25-27 results)

Allen (R) 47 (43)
Webb (D) 43 (43)

What a difference a maccaca makes. Who knew that running around spouting racial slurs could come back to haunt you? I can't wait for this one.

Saturday, October 21, 2006

US Generals Hauled Home from Iraq

The Bush Administration called the US top generals back for an emergency meeting to discuss new strategy with the president as poll numbers show the public support for the White House’s conduct of the war and foreign policy is plummeting.

The meeting occurs as US generals admit that we are losing the battle for Baghdad, while the old guard GOP elite, headed by Bush 41 cronies, are bringing their revolt from the White House to the media, and the 78th US soldier dies in Iraq this month. We do not have a confirmed number of Iraqi civilian deaths in October.
Meanwhile, President Bush told the country this morning that the war has been “rough for our troops” and that the Pentagon reassesses the situation “everyday,” but urged the public to support “staying the course,” whatever that might be. The weekly radio address comes in the face of military admissions that al-Sadr’s Shiite militia took control of the southern Iraqi city of Amarah on Friday, requiring the Iraqi government to negotiate a truce.